FO Draws You A Picture...Of Draws

Football Outsiders ran a piece today on the number of draws each team ran last season, and your Houston Texans finished dead last in the entire league, with just three percent of their runs happening as draws. Explanation, Dr. Schatz?

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Tampa Bay and Houston had good yardage and poor DVOA on draws, so what you are seeing there is a lot of "give up" draws on third-and-long.

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Jives with how I watched the games last year. It seemed, anecdotally, that the Texans were pretty decent at the draw when they ran it, but I can't think of more than two or three times last year when they ran it before third and a million. It'll be interesting to see if this changes with Rick Dennison in charge. When he led the Broncos offense last year, Denver's 32 draws were very close to the league average of 31.

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This article also gives you a good bet if you can find someone to take it: take the over on 5 draws in Week 3 when the Cowboys come to town, as they are the preeminent drawing team in the NFL.

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