Soon and very soon, we're going to see Roger Clemens stand trial for perjury. It'll pit him against former trainer Brian McNamee and will bring back lots of sordid details about the story, possibly including needles saved for years, links to extramarital activities by Clemens and more.
↵But, when we look at it from these two sources (former lawyer Craig Calcaterra and a profile in the New York Daily News), it looks more and more likely that Clemens will get convicted. The most relevant points?
↵Unlike Bonds, Clemens alienated his confidante in Brian McNamee so much that he's testifying against him. Bonds' trainer went to jail for a long time rather than testify against him. That, coupled with Andy Pettitte possibly testifying against Clemens, will give prosecutors much more to work with to get a conviction.
↵Yes, those prosecutors are also an important difference. As the article in the Daily News shows, the FBI's lead investigator is much more locked down than Jeff Novitsky from the Bonds trial. This is bad news for Clemens.
↵You'd like to think this will come down to he-said, he-said between Clemens and McNamee, but there seems to be enough evidence there that Clemens has a chance to be convicted. Expect more to come out as this trial begins in earnest.
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