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2011 NFL Draft: Draft Order Trending Up For Texans

Here is your up-to-the-date NFL Draft order:

1) Carolina Panthers (2-12) — .571 Opponent’s Win%
2) Denver Broncos (3-11) — .518 Opponent’s Win %
3) Cincinnati Bengals (3-11) — .585 Opponent’s Win %
4) Arizona Cardinals (4-10) — .460 Opponent’s Win %
5) Detroit Lions (4-10) – .545 Opponent’s Win %
6) Buffalo Bills (4-10) – .580 Opponent’s Win %
7) San Francisco 49ers (5-9) — ..487 Opponent’s Win %
8) Dallas Cowboys (5-9) — .518 Opponent’s Win %
9) Washington Redskins (5-9) — .518 Opponent’s Win %
10) Houston Texans (5-9) — .536 Opponent’s Win %
11) Minnesota Vikings (5-9) — .536 Opponent’s Win %
12) Cleveland Browns (5-9) — .571 Opponent’s Win %
13) Seattle Seahawks (6-8) — .482 Opponent’s Win %
14) Tennessee Titans (6-8) – .513 Opponent’s Win %
15) Oakland Raiders (7-7) – .469 Opponent’s Win %
16) Miami Dolphins (7-7) – .536 Opponent’s Win %

Based on mathematical fact, we can deduce that the Texans will pick between 2 and 16. Adding Denver and the Jacksonville Jaguars to the schedule will be a net boost for their opponent winning percentage, but not enough of one to leap past the .520-.530 level even if their other games help them out.

Assuming nothing crazy, the Texans should probably hunker down somewhere between 9 and 14. Their strength of schedule will be a big deterrent towards moving up anywhere with even one win. If they happen to lose out, they probably wouldn’t be able to catch the Broncos in SOS, but could catch the Bengals. But if any of the vast swath of 5-9 teams loses out with them, the Texans are probably licked on tiebreakers.

Images by eflon used in background images under a Creative Commons license. Thank you.